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Latin America Natural resources and energy

Oil reawakens territorial dispute between Venezuela and Guyana

Diplomatic tensions between South American neighbors Venezuela and Guyana intensified after an Exxon exploration ship began operating in the disputed offshore area on Guyana’s behalf. Venezuela has issued a new maritime defense

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Queen Elizabeth II sets Parliamentary agenda. The G7 meet in Dresden to economic developments and trade. The UN attempts peace talks to stave off Sunni-Shi’a proxy fighting. Brazilian GDP report

International Natural resources and energy

Illegal sand mining threatens the global construction boom

It sounds like a paradox, but the world is running out of sand – the type of sand that keeps the current global construction boom alive. Sand has become so scarce

Security Sub-Saharan Africa

Will Mali miss the investment scramble for sub-Saharan Africa?

Violence and political instability threaten Mali’s ability to benefit from increasing foreign investment in sub-Saharan Africa. Recent weeks have witnessed a spike in violence in Mali between opposing militias, including

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Amid chaos, Libya risks losing greatest trading partner

The power struggle in Libya poses a great risk to Italian investment in the war-torn country, as thousands of migrants flee to Italy’s southern shores. Decades-old oil vessels, once a

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Expected ECB QE programme will require some fine-tuning. Russia’s credit rating takes a hit as its economy weakens further. Iran may face new sets of US sanctions as newest round of talks begin, and

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

Impact of the 2015 elections on Burundi’s economy

In 2015, Burundi will face not only local and legislative, but also presidential elections. Their importance for the democratic transition process of this post-conflict and extremely poor country cannot be

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

Conflict in South Sudan a major concern for China

Economic dependence and political conflict between Sudan and South Sudan has turned into a dire investment climate. Chinese companies are caught in the middle, but also capitalise on political divisions.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Expect increase in US activity in Middle East

There will be a surge in the United States’ Middle East foreign policy between now and the presidential election in 2016. Expect a greater military role in Syria, improved ties

Economics International

Argentina pushes for global debt restructuring mechanism

Argentina’s recent default has renewed interest in sovereign debt restructuring. And while developed countries still oppose the idea, placing it under the IMF may ease negotiations. Sovereign debt – the