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Middle East/North Africa Politics

Will Qatar’s support for the Muslim Brotherhood harm its Western backing?

Qatar’s intrepid foreign policy has led to isolation among their traditional Arab Gulf allies such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia. Will the wealthy kingdom find a way to protect

Economics Politics The Week Ahead

GRI’s Weekly Risk Outlook

Turkish central bank to ease monetary policy further  in wake of disinflationary pressures. Indian Reserve Bank to keep rates on hold until government reveals budget details, and Brazilian economy continues

Europe Politics

For Turkey, Russian partnership is high risk-high reward

A Russia-Turkey partnership is in the offer, and with increasing domestic and international political pressure the two countries seem to be headed for a significant diplomatic relationship in the near future. A

International Politics

Top 5 political risks in 2015

From Russian recession and falling oil prices to emerging market reform and divided responses to Islamic State, five areas will define political risk in 2015. One year ago today, the

International Natural resources and energy

Mediterranean energy alliances isolate Turkey

The discovery of hydrocarbons has altered the geopolitical situation in the Eastern Mediterranean, leading to the formation of new alliances that leave Turkey out of the game. With regional crises

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

EDA: Egypt exposed to price shocks in subsidy overhaul

EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: Egypt’s attempts to reform highly subsidized oil and grain markets reveal key trade vulnerabilities. Egypt’s dependency on imported oil and cereals (despite its own production) leaves it exposed

Europe Finance

Turkish Bank Asya feels the political heat

Turkish Bank Asya has recently come under intense scrutiny through government investigations. Though the bank continues to deny all allegations, evidence is growing that the bank’s books may not all be

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Expect increase in US activity in Middle East

There will be a surge in the United States’ Middle East foreign policy between now and the presidential election in 2016. Expect a greater military role in Syria, improved ties

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Turkey has much to lose in Kobani

With the Islamic State’s insurgency in Kobani still raging economic fallout in Turkey has already begun. The Turkish state is making significant unforced errors, with damaging long-term consequences for its

Europe Politics

Eurasian Economic Union gains momentum

As the Eurasian Economic Union continues to gain momentum, interested parties are lining up and critics are speaking out. Despite the continuing unrest in Eastern Ukraine, economic integration processes are continuing