Tag "Syria"
The impact of the independence of Kurdistan
In this second of two articles on Kurdistan, GRI examines the likely repercussions of an independent Iraqi Kurdistan. The previous article made the case that this is a good time
Ankara bombing raises questions over Turkey’s stability
The March 13th bombing in Ankara is the third terrorist attack that hit the capital in a six-month period. The blast is a strong indicator for both the elevated terrorist
Why the timing is ideal for Iraq’s Kurds to declare independence
In this first of two related articles, GRI examines why it is a good time for the Iraqi Kurdish population to declare independence. The next article will examine the regional
Iraq reimagined: An alternative history of Saddam Hussein and the Arab Spring
This piece imagines an Iraq where Saddam Hussein was still in power in 2016. What if President Bush had allowed his red line to be crossed? How would Saddam’s response
Weekly Risk Outlook
Governor to add to Brexit debate. Chinese government signals growth may slow. Primaries test Attack-Trump’s success. Syria talks resume. ECB issues rate decision. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Bank of England Governor
Assessing the risk of an ISIS “dirty bomb”
ISIS’ potential acquisition of radioactive material generates a potential scenario in which the Sunni extremist group may try to produce and use a “dirty bomb”. Over the past two weeks,
Will Turkey and Saudi Arabia intervene in Syria?
Over the past several weeks, Turkey and Saudi Arabia have repeatedly discussed intervening in the Syrian conflict. Is this sort of intervention likely? In recent days, the possibility of Saudi
Will Syria be partitioned or remain united?
GRI Debate: What will Syria look like after the war? US Secretary of State John Kerry recently said that partitioning Syria may be a possibility. In this debate, GRI asked
Bleak Outlook at Munich Security Conference
Displaying a level of pessimism which surpassed even last year’s conference, attendees at the Munich Security Conference 2016 last week were forced to reckon with the consequences stemming from the
3 reasons why Saudi Arabia will keep oil prices low
Despite a tentative agreement struck last week to freeze oil production, Saudi Arabia is likely to keep oil prices low for the foreseeable future. Last week Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Qatar,
