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Africa Politics

Kenya: Camp Closures Weaponised as Relations with Somalia Sour

The maritime dispute between Kenya and Somalia has dragged diplomatic relations between the two neighbours to a new low, with the most likely outcome favouring Somalia. In threatening to close Dadaab and Kakuma, Kenya may be seeking a new source of pressure to apply to Mogadishu through deploying the prospect of thousands of returnees as leverage. 

Latin America Politics Security

Will Colombia be able to capitalize on FARC peace deal to boost growth?

Colombia finds itself at a critical impasse where certain decisions in the next six months could push it toward an economic boom or serious destabilization.

Middle East/North Africa Special Reports Technology and infrastructure

Special Report: The risks and rewards of digitizing the Middle East

The imminent digital disruptions in the Middle East will present both opportunities and risks – from economic to political and cybersecurity – in the region.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Is Hatay immune from Syria’s conflict?

The Turkish province of Hatay has largely been immune to the regional turmoil but regional tensions lead to heightened security and stability concerns.

Europe Politics

Sweden’s far right gaining ground as social problems mounts

Sweden’s immigration policy is honourable but has not come without social problems — which in turn herald a political shakeup.

Future Generator Sub-Saharan Africa

Future Generator: Uganda media coverage to remain negative in early February

Mounting concerns about Uganda’s mismanagement, and increasing refugee flows from South Sudan, will yield negative media coverage over the next two weeks.

Europe Politics

2017 Preview: Europe’s security and political risk outlook

With 2017 fast approaching, Europe and the EU will likely continue to be exposed to a range of security, financial and political risks.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Trends of 2016: Despite a neighborhood on fire, Jordan remains stable

As the media focuses on the many crises in the Middle East, Jordan’s capacity to endure the instability next door is noteworthy. Yet the Hashemite Kingdom faces tough challenges at home and abroad that make its future precarious.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

Is closing Dadaab the solution to Kenya’s security problems?

Closing the Dadaab refugee camp will not solve Kenya’s security problems, and will likely lead to a humanitarian crisis and increased instability in Somalia.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Dead or alive ISIS is a threat to Jordan

While regional instability has negatively impacted Jordan’s economy, paradoxically the potential defeat of ISIS, also increases Jordan’s short-term political risks. Earlier this month, Jordan revealed that a gunmen opened fire