Tag "political risk"

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International Politics

Top 5 political risks in 2015

From Russian recession and falling oil prices to emerging market reform and divided responses to Islamic State, five areas will define political risk in 2015. One year ago today, the

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Israeli central bank to decide on interest rates. New home price data set for release in the United States. American banks to face new liquidity regulations. AirAsia crash creates potential

Latin America Politics

Will Correa’s amendments shift the ground in Ecuador?

Ecuadorian president Rafael Correa will push through a set of constitutional amendments before the end of this year. The amendments will likely produce more polarisation in the country, with the

Natural resources and energy Sub-Saharan Africa

Foreign investment in Equatorial Guinea resilient despite corruption

Equatorial Guinea has rich energy reserves, and despite corruption and political instability foreign investment has continued. Proposed plans to diversify the economy could create new investment opportunities. A recent indictment of the president’s eldest

Asia Pacific Finance

Is the new AIIB just more of the same?

The Asian infrastructure market and the new investment vehicle, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), present a potentially highly attractive opportunity for investors. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has estimated

Latin America Politics

Growing protests in Venezuela threaten Maduro’s rule

Massive anti-government protests have erupted across Venezuela in what President Nicolas Maduro has called an “evolving coup.” Maduro’s comment might become a self-fulfilling prophecy if protesters and the political opposition continue

Asia Pacific Security

Escalating tensions over Senkaku/Diaoyu islands underestimated

The political risks of the Senkaku/Diaoyu island dispute are heavily mispriced in global markets. Conflict is still on the table. For more than a year now Japan and China have

Economics International

Political risk to watch in 2014

Turkey, China and Brazil face a difficult year ahead in more ways than one: economic growth forecasts, political stability and foreign direct investment prospects are likely to take a hit.

Finance International

IMF conference paper links currency depreciation to post-crisis growth

A new paper presented at the IMF’s Annual Research Conference suggests that emerging markets should counter liquidity problems from capital outflows with currency depreciation and reserve sales. Read the full IMF

International Natural resources and energy

China Moves on Arctic Resource Potential

China hopes to utilize its growing economic clout and new Arctic council observer status to push for greater polar influence. This year, the Arctic Council admitted six new nations as