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Middle East/North Africa Security

Turkey’s 2018 risk outlook

Turkey is likely to face unrest, foreign policy tensions, an unsettled economy, and terrorist threats in 2018. But that won’t stop Erdogan from cementing his authoritarian trajectory and expanding regional influence.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Is Hatay immune from Syria’s conflict?

The Turkish province of Hatay has largely been immune to the regional turmoil but regional tensions lead to heightened security and stability concerns.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Turkey’s terror problem: How terrorism challenges Turkey’s long-term stability

In the wake of the assassination of Russia’s Ambassador to Turkey Andrey Karlov, terrorism is once again at the forefront of news about Turkey. A recent string of terrorist attacks underscores Turkey’s heightened exposure to instability caused by ongoing security challenges.

Middle East/North Africa North America

Turks or Kurds: the next US decision and its potential impact

If the US wants to accomplish its goals in Syria, it will probably need to pick a side in one of the world’s bloodiest ethnic conflicts. The bombings in Istanbul

Middle East/North Africa Security

HDP arrests pose grave risks for Turkey’s future

The ongoing crackdown on Kurdish politicians in Turkey risks escalating and perpetuating Turkey’s conflict with the Kurds.

Europe Security

Kurdistan Workers’ Party intensifies attacks in Turkey

The ongoing Kurdish separatist insurgency and the Turkish operation in Syria increase the risk of additional PKK-linked attacks throughout the country.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Turkey’s everlasting divisions

Throughout the history of the Republic of Turkey, state policies have created irreconcilable divisions based on ideological and ethnic lines. These policies have pervaded all spheres of the Turkish society and economy and the aftermath of the recent coup embodies of this divisive politics.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Why Manbij may define the future of the Syrian war

Violence in Turkey has suspicions pointing towards either ISIS or the Kurds. Turkey is currently fighting on two fronts but the real battlefront remains in Syria, particularly in Manbij. Indeed, Manbij may be decisive for the Kurdish-U.S alliance as well as Turkey-U.S cooperation.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Erdogan’s diplomatic openings: An international power play

Erdogan’s recent openings are part of a wider strategy to better Turkey’s international standing while the country faces multiple challenges.

Middle East/North Africa Security

The wider implications of ISIS’ Istanbul bombing

Tuesday’s attack on Istanbul Ataturk airport will only exacerbate Turkey’s tourism, security, and economic woes.