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Middle East/North Africa Politics

In Saudi Arabia, new king Salman seeks stability

The formal succession of power in Saudi Arabia brings former Crown Prince Salman to the throne of the Arab world’s largest economy. When news broke of the death of King

International Natural resources and energy

Oil outlook for 2015

“Best two days in 3 years,” read a headline closing the final week before Christmas, an early gift for US equity traders – tonic enough for most to wash down the

Natural resources and energy North America

Shale oil boom uncertain in wake of falling oil prices

No state in the US has benefitted more from the shale oil boom than North Dakota. Just as quickly as the transformation came, it could disappear with low oil prices.

International Politics

Top 5 political risks in 2015

From Russian recession and falling oil prices to emerging market reform and divided responses to Islamic State, five areas will define political risk in 2015. One year ago today, the

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

OPEC ‘no-cut’ decision adds to Middle East divide

OPEC’s recent decision to not to cut oil production and instead maintain low prices is having a ripple effect across the Middle East. While countries with rich oil reserves are

Latin America Natural resources and energy

Latin America’s oil winners and losers

The recent fall in international oil prices will provide oil-importing countries in Latin America with an economic bonus, while oil exporters will suffer, both economically and politically. The chances of

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

GRI Weekly Risk Outlook

Putin visits India to reach out on energy, defense. Crude oil reaches new lows as economies thrive on cheap energy. US likely to avoid a repeat of 2013 shutdown. Eurozone ministers

Finance International

6 reasons 2015 will be defined by market volatility

Markets spent most of 2014 calmly moving up, but 2015 may be a different story. Outside of a brief surge in volatility in October, markets were complacent throughout 2014. Even

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Hard policy choices ahead for the Central Bank of Nigeria

With a sliding currency, the Central Bank of Nigeria is faced with a difficult policy choice. Its efforts to stabilise the naira and tame inflationary pressures are likely to be

Natural resources and energy Sub-Saharan Africa

New energy bill creates uncertainty for investors in Nigeria

Nigeria tries to develop its stagnating oil reserves by attracting foreign investment through a new Petroleum Industry Bill. But the bill seems more likely to create greater political risk and scare