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International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Final U.S. data before Fed meeting. Oil reports project low prices in 2016. Argentine President-elect takes office. US Congress votes on spending bill. Koreas to improve relations. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Last Tranche

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Jeremy Corbyn likely new leader of UK Labour Party. Last FOMC member speech before September Fed meeting. Chinese data roils market. Canada makes rate decision. Civilian exchanges to ease tension between Koreas. All this

Asia Pacific Security

Is the North Korean threat growing?

The North Korean navy, under the supervision of Kim Jong-un, has managed to successfully test-fire a ballistic missile from a submarine. Though North Korea’s technology is not fully developed, it

Asia Pacific Economics

The geopolitical implications of North Korean mineral reserves

The recent discovery of rare earth mineral reserves in North Korea has the potential to redefine the country’s long-term prospects and radically alter geopolitics within the region. Thinking about the North

Asia Pacific Politics

Relisting will push North Korea towards Russian alliance

In early November 2014, North Korea exhibited a hint of good-will by releasing two American prisoners, Kenneth Bae and Matthew Miller. This was an enigmatic gesture, but it lit a

Asia Pacific Politics

“The Interview” shows the value of political risk analysis

The latest Hollywood film by Sony Pictures generated a small fraction of the forecasted box office revenue because of disruptions and threats by the North Korean government. This example demonstrates

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

New U.S. consumer sentiment data to keep improving. Central Banks in Armenia and Turkey to deal with rouble and Fed policy. Second round of voting in Greek presidential elections. Tensions

International Technology and infrastructure

Regin changes the face of cyber security

A new and more powerful form of government-sponsored malware needs our attention. Businesses may need to increase their investments in cyber defence. In November, the security experts at Symantec and

Asia Pacific Politics

What does a political reshuffle mean for North Korea?

A recent rise to prominence of Kim Jong-un’s sister, Kim Yo-jong, reveals the internal dynamics of North Korea’s power structure. The northern half of the Korean peninsula is infamous for

Asia Pacific Politics

What Xi Jinping’s visit means for South Korea

In early July, Xi Jinping made a monumental visit to South Korea before visiting North Korea for the first time. China shows willingness to engage in a closer relationship with South