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International Politics

Weekly Risk Outlook

COP21 begins in Paris. ECB sets interest rates. IMF discusses adding Yuan to SDR. Brazil releases poor Q3 growth figures. LNG summit in Italy explores potential. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Global Climate

Economics Europe

Schengen is cracking – Can the EU withstand the pressure?

The Schengen agreement is one of four cornerstones of the European Union’s ‘Single Market’ system, but with the unprecedented migrant crisis flooding the region and fractures amongst member nations already

Economics Europe

EU fiscal policy reflects broader tensions

The Eurogroup President’s proposal for an independent fiscal committee will not water down tensions between member states over fiscal policy.  Over the past 6 years, Europe has been dealing with

Europe Politics

Switzerland split on the refugee issue

While some groups are advocating for stronger commitments to asylum seekers, others, such as the Swiss People’s Party, call for stronger borders. Humanitarian concerns, worries about the economy, and tinges

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Amid chaos, Libya risks losing greatest trading partner

The power struggle in Libya poses a great risk to Italian investment in the war-torn country, as thousands of migrants flee to Italy’s southern shores. Decades-old oil vessels, once a

Europe Politics

What does Napolitano’s resignation mean for Italy?

Italy’s President Giorgio Napolitano, retired from office on 14 January 2015. The question remains whether his successor will continue his strategy of active involvement in political debates. Italy’s President Giorgio

Europe Finance

Draghi risks becoming the Boy Who Cried Wolf over QE

Recent remarks by ECB President Mario Draghi have promised to tackle the near-recession level of activity plaguing the Eurozone. But while words have come often, there has been far less

International Natural resources and energy

Mediterranean energy alliances isolate Turkey

The discovery of hydrocarbons has altered the geopolitical situation in the Eastern Mediterranean, leading to the formation of new alliances that leave Turkey out of the game. With regional crises

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

EDA: At risk of collapse Libya leans on oil industry

EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: As rival militias continue their fight for power in Tripoli and across the country, Libya hopes the security of its vital oil industry can provide some semblance of

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

EDA: Egypt exposed to price shocks in subsidy overhaul

EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: Egypt’s attempts to reform highly subsidized oil and grain markets reveal key trade vulnerabilities. Egypt’s dependency on imported oil and cereals (despite its own production) leaves it exposed