Tag "Islamic State"

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Middle East/North Africa Security

Turkey’s 2018 risk outlook

Turkey is likely to face unrest, foreign policy tensions, an unsettled economy, and terrorist threats in 2018. But that won’t stop Erdogan from cementing his authoritarian trajectory and expanding regional influence.

Europe Security

Italy’s emerging terrorist threat

The recent apprehension of the Moroccan Nabil Benhamir in Genoa has sparked renewed interest for Rome’s counterterrorism strategy. Although Italy is a high symbolic country and despite the Islamic State’s repeated calls for attacks, the country has not suffered a major jihadist terrorist attack – yet.

Asia Pacific Security

Terrorism risks rising in Malaysia as Islamic State militants return

The Islamic State military defeats increase the risk of Malaysian militants returning home. Here’s why this means a heightened domestic terrorist threat.

Europe Security

The Islamic State threat to Europe’s Christmas season

The Islamic State’s threats to the Christmas season highlight the organisation’s intent to hit major public events and remain active in Europe.

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Egypt’s economic recovery will stall under state of emergency

On 12 October President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi declared yet another state of emergency – aimed at fighting terrorism. In the context of recent attacks, the policy’s effectiveness is in question.

Europe Security

New French anti-terror law will only be partially effective

The new anti-terrorism law, if arbitrarily applied, could have the perverse effect of increasing radicalization and is unlikely to stem small-scale attacks.

Europe Security

How a shrinking Islamic State creates new risks in Europe

As the Islamic State loses territory, Europe will almost certainly continue to face an elevated risk of crude attacks conducted by radical Islamists

Debate Corner Middle East/North Africa

Is the referendum on Kurdish independence a spark in a powder keg?

GRI Debate: Will the independence referendum in Kurdistan further destabilize Iraq and the region? Kurdish authorities announced on Wednesday that Iraqi Kurds overwhelmingly voted in favour of a split from Iraq,

Middle East/North Africa Security

Why the Kurdish referendum is part of Barzani’s wider strategy

Kurdish authorities announced on Wednesday that Iraqi Kurds overwhelmingly voted in favour of a split from Iraq, with 92.7 percent of voters casting their vote in favour of Kurdistan’s independence.

International Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy Politics Security

Referendum in Kurdistan: A risky gamble in a volatile region

Nearly 93% of eligible voters in Kurdistan have cast their ballot in favour of independence. Although technically the referendum is non-binding, it does represent a new and potentially dangerous phase