Tag "Germany"
GRI’s 2015 year in risk review
The year 2015 very much seemed to be a year of transition (and not generally for the better), filled with many surprises. The staying power of the Islamic State Perhaps
Italy’s risky outlook for 2016
The gap is widening between Rome and Brussels. The reasons are both diverging interests and increasing domestic pressure on the government. But how far will this fight go in 2016?
Merkel faces cracks in coalition over refugee policy
The spate of violence on New Year’s Eve in Germany has caused a national scandal and created rifts within Angela Merkel’s governing coalition. The wave of violence which occurred in
What to expect in Europe in 2016
In addition to the continuation of current crises, Europe will face new matters of contention in 2016. Nationalism and fragmentation within the EU will keep growing, including on the Brexit
How France’s regional elections will impact its next presidential campaign
Regional elections will have an immediate impact on French politics, as parties begin to prepare for the next presidential campaign. For the Socialist government, the time has come to start
Will EU budget rule-breaking become a norm?
This month the European Commission published its assessments of the draft budgetary plans of Eurozone member states for the year 2016. They have already prompted rebukes from EU member states
Schengen is cracking – Can the EU withstand the pressure?
The Schengen agreement is one of four cornerstones of the European Union’s ‘Single Market’ system, but with the unprecedented migrant crisis flooding the region and fractures amongst member nations already
EU fiscal policy reflects broader tensions
The Eurogroup President’s proposal for an independent fiscal committee will not water down tensions between member states over fiscal policy. Over the past 6 years, Europe has been dealing with
How many migrants can Sweden stomach?
By now, the migrant/refugee crisis in Europe is hardly news, but the impact of ongoing waves of people is only starting to sink in. While political leaders of the EU
Four political risks following the terror attacks in Paris
The tragic terror attacks in Paris on November 13th bring simmering local and regional political risks to a boil. When calling Friday’s terrorist attacks in the French capital an act
