Tag "Federal Open Market Committee"
Previewing the Fed minutes: A slowing forecast for U.S. interest rates
Without a single U.S. interest rate increase thus far in 2016, earlier forecasts predicting steadily climbing rates now appear unlikely to materialize. What shape will the revised rate hike trajectory take?
Number of pieces increasing in Fed rate hike puzzle
Inflation and unemployment are no longer the only big issues for the US Fed to consider in deciding when to raise interest rates. Oil prices and the strong dollar, among other
Will low oil prices affect the US Fed’s decisions?
Falling oil prices are the newest wrench in the Fed’s decision making, but the effect might seem counter-intuitive. Since the Fed’s last meeting in October, oil prices have fallen 25%. With
Weekly Risk Outlook
US Fed to give more precise details on timing of rate change at FOMC meeting on Dec 16-17. Greece announces snap elections for Dec 17, prompting stock drop. Mercosur summit will discuss
How will the Fed normalize monetary policy post-taper?
As the Federal Reserve continues to reduce the pace of asset purchases, attention has turned to the impending rise in interest rates. But to control short-term rates, the Fed will
3 reasons economists keep forecasting growth wrong
The Fed and IMF again downgraded US growth projections, as they have done repeatedly for the last five years. When the Federal Reserve and the IMF downgraded their forecasts for
How much slack does the U.S. labor market really have?
U.S. labor market slack, the unused part of economic production capacity, is an important economic indicator used by the Federal Reserve to determine forward guidance. The question is how much
Central banks rely on forward guidance
As interest rates remain low among developed economies, shaping expectations through communication is proving to be an effective monetary tool. Communicating the taper At its last monetary policy meeting, the
The Volcker Rule depends on regulator cooperation
Over three years in the making, a key piece of the Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act reaches completion and limits proprietary trading by US banks. Yet,