Tag "Europe"

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International Under The Radar

Predicting the next global pandemic

The nature and likelihood of the next pandemic presents many challenges to governments and health organisations, as it could be an unknown pathogen that the world is ill-equipped to contain. The risks associated with such a pandemic has secondary effects as it not only affects human health, but also causes severe disruptions in economic, political, and social areas.

Europe Politics

Serbian visas as diplomacy

Serbia has ensured that its passport holders have visa-free access to a wide range of countries, from Belarus to Indonesia. Many new visa waiver agreements have been signed in the past 5 years, but the most recent agreement, with Iran, was cancelled after one year alone. The failure of the Iran agreement highlights the unique role that visas play in Serbian diplomacy.

Europe Politics

The Orthodox schism: religion as a political instrument

On 15th October, the Russian Orthodox Church announced that it had severed  ties to the Patriarchate of Constantinople after the Patriarch declared that he would grant the Ukrainian Orthodox Church autocephaly, meaning independence from the Russian Church. Until this declaration, the only Orthodox Church in Ukraine that was officially recognized by other Patriarchates was administered from Moscow. While this may seem at first glance to be primarily a religious matter, it is in fact deeply political in nature.

Europe Politics

The dragon over Visegrad: China in central Europe

China’s modern successor to the Silk Road – the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) – has received heavy criticism from the West as a tool that could be used to divide Europe through economic influence. Just how well-established is China’s influence in Central Europe – and does Chinese investment represent a threat?

Europe Natural resources and energy

The Energy Briefing: Will US gas exports to Europe surge?

As US LNG exports have increased, policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic have viewed them as a way to decrease Europe’s dependence on Russian natural gas. However, their ultimate success will be determined by market dynamics. At the moment, these dynamics generally favor Gazprom’s continued dominance.

Europe Politics

Fate of migrant ship Aquarius exacerbates divisions within EU

Italy’s decision to turn away the migrant ship, Aquarius, reinforced the deep schism within the EU on how to manage the migration crisis. With a pan-European solution looking increasingly unlikely, the crisis is only going to continue, increasing political and economic risk in the region by further emboldening the populist right and undermining the EU’s capacity to solve collective problems.

International

The future of the Iran deal: the new big three against Trump

Whether it was French President Emanuel Macron or German Chancellor Angela Merkel side by side US President Donald Trump, what seems clear is that there is change in the air for the West’s relations with Iran.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Trump’s short-sighted stance on Iran leaves door open for China

Trump’s refusal to re-certify the JCPOA nuclear deal is likely to push Iran closer to China, which has become a major Iranian trading partner.

Europe Security Technology and infrastructure

New EU cyber strategy leaves key security gaps

GRI examines the strengths and weaknesses of Europe’s cyber strategy “Resilience, Deterrence and Defence: Building strong cybersecurity for the EU”.

Europe Security

How a shrinking Islamic State creates new risks in Europe

As the Islamic State loses territory, Europe will almost certainly continue to face an elevated risk of crude attacks conducted by radical Islamists