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International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

ASEAN Summit in California. Fed bankers speak. Brussels Summit covers Brexit and refugees. Uganda’s elections to continue decades of rule. U.S. campaigns heat up. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. ASEAN

Europe Politics

Brexit: what could go wrong for Cameron?

A letter laying out EU proposals for convincing the UK to stay in the EU opens a new phase in negotiations that should ultimately lead to the kick-off of the

Economics Europe

UK unlikely to change interest rates until Brexit decision

The rate hike cycle that appears to have started in the U.S. is not likely to cross the Atlantic anytime soon. In its first policy meeting of 2016, the Bank

Europe Politics

What to expect in Europe in 2016

In addition to the continuation of current crises, Europe will face new matters of contention in 2016. Nationalism and fragmentation within the EU will keep growing, including on the Brexit

Economics Europe

Challenges for UK ‘golden era’ ties with China

Last week, Xi Jinping concluded his first official visit to the UK. The tour ended with a series of deals worth $60 billion. While business investors are looking to deepen trade

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

China trade figures show slide. US CPI data to weigh on Fed October meeting. EU officials discuss refugees, Brexit. Democrats hold primary debate. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. China

Europe Politics

Does the SNP offer an alternative to Britain’s exit from the EU?

The recent British election demonstrated how polarized the United Kingdom has become in terms of its democratic make-up. Does the Scottish National Party offer a viable alternative to the upcoming Brexit vote and the

Europe Politics

Is the ‘Brexit’ scenario all talk?

While independence from the EU made for a good Conservative party campaign promise, the uncertainty and economic harm of a British exit, or ‘Brexit,” make the scenario unlikely.  On May

Europe Politics

UK election: Interview with Hadleigh Roberts, Labour parliamentary candidate

In advance of the UK election on May 7th, GRI sat down with Hadleigh Roberts, the Labour Party parliamentary candidate for the Thornbury & Yate constituiency. The countdown has started,

Europe Politics

Investors less worried about a British EU exit

What do perceptions of the economic consequences of a British EU-exit mean for the prospects of a referendum? In a climate of political uncertainty in Britain and the EU, can