Latest Insights
Yemen’s civil war risks southern secession
Yemen’s ongoing civil war is often represented as being purely about control over the country. However, due to historical grievances, much of the South would prefer outright secession. As the
Why terrorism is not an effective political strategy
Terrorism often works. Extremist organizations such as al-Qaeda, Hamas, and the Tamil Tigers engage in terrorism because it frequently delivers the desired response. However, with its reliance on basic psychology,
UAVs: The future of terrorist weaponry?
With rising threats of new terror attacks and concerns that new networks will emerge, governments should be cautious and think ahead about preventing the next phase of terror: the use
What lies ahead for Iceland in 2016?
Icelanders are wondering what is ahead for their country in 2016. Will Iceland be ready for something new, more of the same, or perhaps a mixture of both? A special
Weekly Risk Outlook
Iowa Caucuses open. Argentina to introduce settlement offer. U.S. economy slows. Nations of TPP sign pact. Peace efforts in Syria continue. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Iowa Caucuses Open Official 9-Month U.S. Presidential Election Season
How do Iranians feel about the nuclear deal?
A great deal has been written on the economic impact this will have and the related political and financial risks associated with the opening up of Iran. However, much less
Russia’s long-game in Antarctica runs political risk
Recent signals out of Moscow suggest the increasing consideration of Antarctica in Russia’s broader strategic vision, a destabilizing trend that risks triggering militarized competition among resource-seeking nations in a thus
Militaries will remain a powerful political and economic force in the Arab world
The MENA region and its militaries have had a tumultuous past. Militaries have held the prime position in the political and economic sphere in the region, and have asserted their own
Falling oil prices raise concerns over Azerbaijan stability
The ongoing fall of oil prices leaves the Azerbaijani economy exposed to structural issues, increasing the risk of social unrest linked to current hardships. Since December 2015, the Azerbaijani economy has
DRC faces further unrest, violence with latest plans to postpone election
The postponement plans are likely to spook investors and weigh on the DRC’s economic growth. In a move likely to spark further unrest and violence, the Democratic Republic of Congo
