Security
Shifts in global terror pose threats to Caspian energy investment
With the emergence of new global terror trends, the potential for terror-based disruptions to the oil industry in Central Asia and the Caucuses is causing concern.
In response to losing territory, IS targets civilians in Baghdad
Ongoing attacks in Baghdad show that IS remains a powerful threat, despite losing ground on the battlefield. A weak security apparatus struggles to cope.
What to expect in post-conflict Colombia
Colombia faces new challenges and opportunities after an agreement with FARC. This means integrating old enemies and finding a new role for the military.
Why Manbij may define the future of the Syrian war
Violence in Turkey has suspicions pointing towards either ISIS or the Kurds. Turkey is currently fighting on two fronts but the real battlefront remains in Syria, particularly in Manbij. Indeed, Manbij may be decisive for the Kurdish-U.S alliance as well as Turkey-U.S cooperation.
Instability in South Sudan threatens East African businesses
Fatal clashes in South Sudan raise the possibility of civil war and the certainty of on-going instability, which may have measurable implications for businesses and economies in East Africa.
How Turkey’s attempted military coup hurts NATO
Under Erdoğan, Turkey has increasingly become an obstruction to NATO and Western foreign policy implementation in the region.
Assessing the impact of Saudi Arabia’s suicide bombings
On July 4th, three suicide attacks occurred across Saudi Arabia. What impact have these attacks had on political risk in the region?
The dangers of NATO’s power play
NATO faces increased Russian hostility across multiple fronts in Europe.
Nice and the terrorist war on France
The July 14th terrorist attack in Nice highlights the ongoing tensions within France’s political class in regard to the response to the current threat.
Italy’s defence outlook for 2016
Italian defence spending will continue to stagnate in the near-term, prompting important questions surrounding ongoing procurement programmes.

