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Security South and Central Asia

Shifts in global terror pose threats to Caspian energy investment

With the emergence of new global terror trends, the potential for terror-based disruptions to the oil industry in Central Asia and the Caucuses is causing concern.

Middle East/North Africa Security

In response to losing territory, IS targets civilians in Baghdad

Ongoing attacks in Baghdad show that IS remains a powerful threat, despite losing ground on the battlefield. A weak security apparatus struggles to cope.

Latin America Security

What to expect in post-conflict Colombia

Colombia faces new challenges and opportunities after an agreement with FARC. This means integrating old enemies and finding a new role for the military.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Why Manbij may define the future of the Syrian war

Violence in Turkey has suspicions pointing towards either ISIS or the Kurds. Turkey is currently fighting on two fronts but the real battlefront remains in Syria, particularly in Manbij. Indeed, Manbij may be decisive for the Kurdish-U.S alliance as well as Turkey-U.S cooperation.

Security Sub-Saharan Africa

Instability in South Sudan threatens East African businesses

Fatal clashes in South Sudan raise the possibility of civil war and the certainty of on-going instability, which may have measurable implications for businesses and economies in East Africa.

Europe Security

How Turkey’s attempted military coup hurts NATO

Under Erdoğan, Turkey has increasingly become an obstruction to NATO and Western foreign policy implementation in the region.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Assessing the impact of Saudi Arabia’s suicide bombings

On July 4th, three suicide attacks occurred across Saudi Arabia. What impact have these attacks had on political risk in the region?

Europe Security

The dangers of NATO’s power play

NATO faces increased Russian hostility across multiple fronts in Europe.

Europe Security

Nice and the terrorist war on France

The July 14th terrorist attack in Nice highlights the ongoing tensions within France’s political class in regard to the response to the current threat.

Europe Security

Italy’s defence outlook for 2016

Italian defence spending will continue to stagnate in the near-term, prompting important questions surrounding ongoing procurement programmes.