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Europe Politics

What lies ahead for Iceland in 2016?

Icelanders are wondering what is ahead for their country in 2016. Will Iceland be ready for something new, more of the same, or perhaps a mixture of both? A special

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Iowa Caucuses open. Argentina to introduce settlement offer. U.S. economy slows. Nations of TPP sign pact. Peace efforts in Syria continue. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Iowa Caucuses Open Official 9-Month U.S. Presidential Election Season

Middle East/North Africa Politics

How do Iranians feel about the nuclear deal?

A great deal has been written on the economic impact this will have and the related political and financial risks associated with the opening up of Iran.  However, much less

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

DRC faces further unrest, violence with latest plans to postpone election

The postponement plans are likely to spook investors and weigh on the DRC’s economic growth. In a move likely to spark further unrest and violence, the Democratic Republic of Congo

Asia Pacific Politics

Taiwan’s election portents new dynamic with Beijing

The new path charted by Ms Tsai’s political vision could represent an important opportunity for Taiwan to restore its prestige as a valuable economic and strategic partner for neighbouring nations.

International Politics

GRI’s 2015 year in risk review

The year 2015 very much seemed to be a year of transition (and not generally for the better), filled with many surprises. The staying power of the Islamic State Perhaps

Europe Politics

Italy’s risky outlook for 2016

The gap is widening between Rome and Brussels. The reasons are both diverging interests and increasing domestic pressure on the government. But how far will this fight go in 2016?

International Politics

Top 5 political risks to watch for in 2016

The year 2016 will pose a number of major risks for the international community, not only in traditional trouble spots but also in the democracies of the West and in

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

ECB speech after signals of new stimulus. Iranian President travels to Europe. Bank of England officials testify. Conferences highlight oil price collapse. Bank of Japan surprise with policy shift. All in the Weekly Risk

Asia Pacific Politics

Tsai’s dynasty: Taiwan’s new approach to China

After eight years of a pro-China administration, Taiwan, the only Chinese-speaking democracy on earth, has elected the pro-independence Tsai Ing-wen. Some fear this will put to question eight years of