Politics
Iraq reimagined: An alternative history of Saddam Hussein and the Arab Spring
This piece imagines an Iraq where Saddam Hussein was still in power in 2016. What if President Bush had allowed his red line to be crossed? How would Saddam’s response
EU deal won’t impact Brexit decision
The UK has obtained some important concessions from the EU ahead – and because – of its Brexit referendum. The deal Cameron brought back from Brussels improves the terms of
What Khamenei’s approval of the nuclear deal means for Iran’s political future
The Iranian nuclear deal was not just a victory for Rouhani — it was a carefully calculated move by Ayatollah Khamenei. In approving the deal, he has opened the door
Weekly Risk Outlook
Governor to add to Brexit debate. Chinese government signals growth may slow. Primaries test Attack-Trump’s success. Syria talks resume. ECB issues rate decision. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Bank of England Governor
Breaking down Democrats’ Super Tuesday voting patterns
With 15 state primaries or caucuses down and 35 more to go pundits have made a persuasive case that Hillary Clinton now dominates and is likely to be the Democratic
Japan’s opposition unifies, bringing risks for investors in the 2018 elections
Japan’s opposition have pledged to work closely to counter the ruling LDP coalition in upcoming elections. What do these developments mean for investors in Japan? On February 26, two of
With March 4 Cortes vote set to fail, Spain may have run out of coalition options
Socialist leader Pedro Sanchez is trying to secure enough support to win a vote in the Spanish parliament on March 4 and form a left of centre coalition government. However,
Weekly Risk Outlook
U.S. primaries could make some unbeatable. Spanish leader seeks to form government. Brazil reports GDP. China makes 5-year goals. Brexit debate begins. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Super Tuesday primaries could make Hillary Clinton and Donald
Russia’s HIV epidemic compounded by economic crisis
Although the Russian government has recently shown signs of comprehension regarding the gravity of its HIV epidemic, measures which have been so far proposed and implemented are insufficient to bring the virus under
Four takeaways from the Nevada GOP caucuses
Nevada rounded out the first four primary states for the Republican nomination. Here are four takeaways, from Kasich’s chances to a Bloomberg entry. On paper, the Nevada caucuses shouldn’t matter
