Politics
Protests spell trouble for Iranian government and JCPOA
Iranians are growing increasingly frustrated with corruption and economic mismanagement. What are the consequences for the regime?
Russia’s election year: What to expect from Putin 4.0
Putin enters the Presidential election year of 2018 in arguably his strongest-ever position internationally – and the weakest (relatively speaking) he has been domestically.
Under the Radar: An unrecognized democracy emerges in Somaliland
Somaliland’s role in the region is changing as key players in the Gulf are waking up to its strategic location.
Europe’s main challenge in 2018 will come from within
European leaders enter the new year with a number of serious challenges on their agenda: from Russia, from the US, but mainly – from the erosion of democratic values in Europe itself.
Spike in protests a symptom of deeper issues in Honduras
On 17 December, Honduras’ electoral tribunal declared incumbent President Juan Orlando Hernandez the winner of the presidential elections. Resulting allegations of electoral fraud and public protests are however signs of deepening political instability in Honduras, a country already affected by widespread corruption, crime and poverty.
Instability is a bigger risk than populism in the Czech Republic
Much is being made of the Czech Republic’s turn to populism and Euroscepticism, but the bigger risks from recent elections are fragmentation, legislative gridlock and instability.
Ulyukayev trial suggests elite discord in Russia
Alexei Ulyukayev’s conviction of bribery is a win for Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin, but Russian elites are increasingly concerned about Sechin’s influence.
Is Russia’s Middle East endgame trouble for global energy markets?
Russia is playing an increasingly assertive role in the Middle East via its military operations in Syria and its partnership with Saudi Arabia
The Bitcoin bubble, Venezuela, and political risk
Despite rampant speculation, and a near-certain chance of bust, Bitcoin is here to stay. Here’s how cryptocurrencies will transform the way we identify, manage and mitigate political risks across borders.
2018: A year of challenges for President Macron
As Macron pushes forward additional socio-economic reforms, the French head-of-state will face substantial challenges in 2018.
