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Economics South and Central Asia

Rocky ride for Russia’s economy set to continue

Western sanctions and falling oil prices have cost Russia over $160 billion and have been “catastrophic” for the Russian economy. Despite this, the Russian leadership is unlikely to alter its provocative

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Mario Draghi, ECB President, is likely to broaden QE programme early; US Fed may signal the timing of increasing interest rates in December meeting; Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party expected

Economics Middle East/North Africa

EDA: Morocco overly dependent on trade with Europe

EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: Recent trips by Morocco’s King Mohammed VI to four African countries, however, suggest a shift in strategy towards African markets. In March 2014, King Mohammed VI of Morocco

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

EDA: Sudan’s economy balances on Chinese investment

EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: Sudan’s economy lies in the hands of its Chinese trading partners, who have invested billions of dollars in the East African nation’s oil industry. As the conflict in

Economics Middle East/North Africa

EDA: Trade diversification key to Tunisia’s development

EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: Despite considerable progress with political transition, maintenance of heavy dependence on the EU won’t let Tunisia’s economy flourish. Being the birthplace of the ‘Arab Spring’, Tunisia was the

Economics Latin America

Tax cuts will not save Peru’s mining sector from falling prices

Recently proposed tax cuts demonstrate the Peruvian government’s attempt to deal with slower growth and stagnating foreign investment. Regardless, if mineral prices continue to fall, investment in extractive industries will not maintain the

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Hard policy choices ahead for the Central Bank of Nigeria

With a sliding currency, the Central Bank of Nigeria is faced with a difficult policy choice. Its efforts to stabilise the naira and tame inflationary pressures are likely to be

Asia Pacific Economics

Do Occupy protests hurt Hong Kong’s economy?

After almost 10 weeks of protests, Occupy Hong Kong is coming to an end. Having failed to halt the protests using other means, Beijing has sought to underline the economic

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Will the Southern African Customs Union last?

One of Africa’s flagship customs unions has gone a long way towards achieving regional economic integration. But this has come at a high – perhaps unacceptable – cost to its

Economics Latin America

Venezuela buckles up for oil price turbulence

Only just avoiding default in October, Venezuela now tries to get public budgets in order to keep investors on board. Yet, a major debt crisis is still the most likely