Posts From Julien Freund

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Europe Politics

Will Germany’s regional elections be the beginning of the end for Merkel?

Upcoming regional elections on Sunday March 13 will see a rise of the anti-immigrant party AfD at the expanse of Merkel’s ruling party and coalition partners. But will this trigger

Europe Politics

Labeled a model for the EU, Ireland goes to the polls

The next Irish general election will probably see the current leader re-elected. But the potential for intense coalition negotiations is here and Ireland is set to move slightly away from

Europe Politics

Brexit: what could go wrong for Cameron?

A letter laying out EU proposals for convincing the UK to stay in the EU opens a new phase in negotiations that should ultimately lead to the kick-off of the

Europe Finance

EU plans to battle corporate tax avoidance unlikely to succeed

The EU crackdown on tax avoidance is a step in the right direction. But it is unlikely to prove effective and its implementation will be made difficult by the lack

Europe Politics

Italy’s risky outlook for 2016

The gap is widening between Rome and Brussels. The reasons are both diverging interests and increasing domestic pressure on the government. But how far will this fight go in 2016?

Europe Politics

Poland challenges EU values, but don’t expect sanctions

The European Union is initiating action against Warsaw’s recent breach of the rule of law. Brussels is unlikely to sanction the Polish government, but this clash reflects growing disparities between

Europe Politics

What to expect in Europe in 2016

In addition to the continuation of current crises, Europe will face new matters of contention in 2016. Nationalism and fragmentation within the EU will keep growing, including on the Brexit

Europe Finance

Financial markets look to European policymakers

European policymakers are initiating a smoothing of regulatory burdens on investors. But political risks like the Brexit and a politically motivated Tax on Financial Transactions threaten to counter this tantalizing

Europe Politics

How France’s regional elections will impact its next presidential campaign

Regional elections will have an immediate impact on French politics, as parties begin to prepare for the next presidential campaign. For the Socialist government, the time has come to start

Europe Natural resources and energy

The state of the European Energy Union

European Commission plan to make Europe’s energy market more integrated and less dependent on Russia will be stuck in intense negotiations in the next few years. Diverging interests between member