Posts From Ian Armstrong

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North America Security

The Pentagon’s New Nuclear Gravity Bomb

Despite its advertisement as a low-yield, lower-risk alternative to existing missile models, the recently tested B61-12 nuclear gravity bomb presents several risks that may in fact elevate the threat of

Europe Security

The Nuclear Implications of Turkey-Russia Tensions

Turkey’s downing of a Russian aircraft presents the threat of economic and geopolitical consequences for both nations. Among these consequences, the potential cancellation of a nuclear power agreement poses a feasible

Asia Pacific International

Key impacts of China’s environmental leadership

Recently, China has pursued a much stronger environmental policy than previously seen or expected, and Beijing is now in a position to lead at the climate summit in Paris. Here

Middle East/North Africa Security

What the Paris attacks mean for Syria

Just over a week after coordinated ISIS attacks in Paris, the dynamics of the Syrian war are poised for change. Militarily, change will only come modestly – but confidence-building measures

Security South and Central Asia

Risks in Pakistan’s tactical nuclear weapons policy

Recent clarifications in Pakistani nuclear policy confirmed speculations that Islamabad has an alarmingly low threshold for tactical nuclear weapon deployment. Here are the geopolitical risks that emerge from Pakistan’s now

Security South and Central Asia

Three Insights from Underwhelming U.S-Pakistan Nuclear Talks

Despite the highly precarious nature of Pakistan’s nuclear program, early reports of U.S.-Pakistan nuclear negotiations in mid-October appear to be overblown. Though the prospects of such a deal are not

International Natural resources and energy

Russia is creating a global nuclear power empire

Russia is moving to create a global nuclear power empire — a bold power play that elicits opportunity and risk far beyond the nuclear reactors themselves. With its ploys in

Europe Natural resources and energy

Three trends in Russia’s oil and gas

The status of Russian oil and gas is a factor near the core of many of the world’s most wide-reaching risks and opportunities. Here are three trends set to shape

International Natural resources and energy

Growth in renewable energy is slowing, but China still leads the pack

The verdict from the International Energy Agency is in on the medium-term renewables market, and the forecast is mixed. China, however, is still leading the global push for clean energy. 

Asia Pacific Economics

China’s carbon trading market could net positive for investors

This week, China announced plans to launch what will become the world’s largest carbon market in 2017. While this signals long-term optimism surrounding a more environmentally responsible China, the development