Posts From Guest Post

Back to homepage
International Security

Social risk: An underexposed source of disruption

Social risk is real. It is often attributed to globalisation, climate change, pandemics, migration, or social media, but these only increase its likelihood.

International Security

A how-to guide for counterinsurgency – by a former insurgent

A guest post from Roland Bartetzko, a former soldier in the German army and Kosovo Liberation Army (UCK), offers key observations about counterinsurgency from the insurgent’s point of view.

International Technology and infrastructure

Why the next disruptive technology isn’t tech at all

The next level of disruptive change is beyond optimisation of processes – it must address human problems that underlie today’s complex social challenges.

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Turbulence ahead for the business climate in Turkey

The AKP interference in the private business sphere follows a heightened drive to reform the political system and move toward a presidential republic.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi’s Egypt is full of tensions and contradictions

At the core of Egypt’s paralysis is the paradoxical blend of Hosni Mubarak and Abdel Fattah el-Sisi politics that define the new system.

Guest Post Politics Security

Opinion: Why human rights should matter to risk analysis

Often overlooked, the relationship between human rights and risk analysis has become increasingly important. A guest post by Nicolas Tenzer, Chairman of the Paris-based Centre for Study and Research for Political

Europe Security

The risk of renewed hostilities over Nagorno-Karabakh

In the most serious escalation of fighting in over two decades, the formerly “frozen” conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh recently erupted into an open conflict.

Europe Politics

Emmanuel Macron launches new party: A game-changer in French politics?

By Nicolas Tenzer France’s Minister of Economy, Emmanuel Macron, announced on April 6th that he launched a new political party, En Marche! that aims at making obsolete the classical cleavages between

Latin America Politics

Cuba – A blast from the past for tourists

Walking around Cuban cities gives a sense what street scenes from the 1950’s may have been like with ubiquitous vintage cars, a generally low level of motorization,  few neon signs

Asia Pacific Security

Beware the dragon: China sets sights on regional dominance

It is time for analysts and scholars to view China as an expansionist rising power. Spurred by a wave of ambitious new leaders, including Xi Jinping, a spike in Chinese