Posts From Etienne Lepers

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Politics

Rethinking Trump’s electoral win and the current populist wave

Trump’s win and Brexit aren’t the result of economic inequality or globalization, but rather due to basic values and vision.

Asia Pacific Economics

Forecasting GDP: The fight over China’s GDP figure

Distrusting China’s official numbers but lacking credible alternatives, analysts should give less weight to GDP as an indicator of economic health and newspapers should give less weight to GDP short-term

Asia Pacific Finance

China: Lender of first (and last) resort

Contemporary political analysis, though firmly focused on the yet to be created AIIB, should be equally as focused on the poorly covered Chinese bilateral lending relationships that already exist. China’s

Finance Middle East/North Africa

Turkey’s monetary policy feud stokes financial risk

While Turkey – with its ceaselessly falling currency – is struggling with the same global forces as other emerging markets, an internal struggle between President Erdoğan, Central Bank Govenor Basci and deputy PM for

Asia Pacific Economics

China’s monetary and exchange rate problems increase with reform

The recent cuts in Chinese interest rates underline the economic headaches that China is facing. Between long-term reforms and short-term weakening, there appears to be no easy solution for China’s monetary policy.

Economics Europe

The slow and bumpy road to reform in France

France’s Minister of the Economy, Emmanuel Macron, has fought hard for reforms. But the reform bill currently debated in the French parliament, despite moving in the right direction, will be of

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

Oil price drop reveals Iraq’s structural problems

“Iraq’s state finances are increasingly vulnerable to a drop in oil prices and the government could have difficulty financing this year’s budget plan.” – IMF Mission Chief for Iraq, 27