Posts From Daniel Lemaitre
Forecasting unconventional elections: What can be done?
Despite unforgivable slips in the 2016 US presidential race, the polling industry must be strengthened, not discredited for future political outcomes.
FARC isn’t the biggest threat to Colombia’s political establishment
A new political force is set to hijack post-conflict politics in Colombia, and it’s not going to be the FARC. Will an outsider candidate take the 2018 Colombian elections? Informally,
What to expect in Latin America in 2016
Economic decline in dominant industries, worsening security in major urban centers, and high profile corruption accusations will continue to hinder development in Latin America in 2016. In the Latin American
Guatemala holds its politicians accountable, offering lessons for Latin America
The recent resignation and indictment of Guatemalan President Otto Perez Molina demonstrate the potential of international investigative and prosecutorial commissions in holding national institutions and politicians accountable. Political corruption in the Latin
Collapsing currency signals need for reform in Colombia
The Colombian economy is faltering after years of oil-driven economic bonanza. Now, more than ever, a government-led national discussion to restructure and strengthen strategic import-competing industries is necessary. In a
Pacific Alliance “Health Check” after CELAC summit
The Pacific Alliance economies will likely face slower growth in 2015, requiring the trade bloc to seek partnerships in India and East Asia as well as stronger relations with the
Failed coup diverts attention from Venezuela’s currency devaluation
An alleged coup attempt on the government of Venezuela and following protests has diverted attention from the most drastic economic decision taken by the Maduro administration—liberalizing the exchange rate regime. On
What to expect in Latin America in 2015
In 2015, Latin America’s dominant extractive industries will have to deal with lower prices and lower international demand. But with political and economic challenges building, many governments may find themselves unable