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Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

China deal will not solve Nigeria’s problems

Nigeria secured 6 billion USD worth of investments from China, but short-term economic gains are hurting long-term parity of the relationship.

Europe Security

Nagorno-Karabakh conflict unlikely to escalate

The surge of violence along the contested border of the Nagorno-Karabakh breakaway republic came as a reminder of the danger posed by the frozen conflict.

Asia Pacific Security

Why North Korea’s failed missile launches matter

North Korea’s failed missile tests underscore its growing military capabilities and highlight potential short-term instability in the region.

Asia Pacific Economics International

Apple runs afoul of China’s changing internet

Apple is the victim of bad timing, not a crackdown, as China flexes its internet sovereignty by shutting down iTunes Movies and iBooks.

Security South and Central Asia

Risk analysis of nuclear terrorism in Pakistan

President Obama’s warning of the risk of nuclear terrorism should be considered seriously, especially when placing Pakistan in this context.

Asia Pacific Security

East Asian plutonium policies risk regional stability

Major countries in East Asia are either considering or already engaging in reprocessing spent fuel from nuclear power plants—a procedure that builds vulnerable stockpiles of plutonium. Intentions notwithstanding, the policies present serious nuclear and radiological risks.

Natural resources and energy Sub-Saharan Africa

Copper proves a rocky road for Zambia

Copper mining has fueled economic growth in Zambia over the last decade, but the country risk becoming dependent on a single commodity.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead

Brazil continues impeachment process. Obama speaks at Hannover Messe. Northeast primaries could end GOP and Democratic races. Fed to maintain rates. Chancellor of Exchequer heads back to treasury. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook.

Asia Pacific Politics

Cambodia’s disputed trade union law may spur social unrest

Cambodia’s new trade union law fails to address familiar problems for factory workers. While relations between the ruling party and the opposition deteriorate, Cambodia’s labour practices remain poor with risk of violent protests highly possible.

Europe Politics

ICTY’s acquittal of Seselj poses risks for Serbia ahead of elections

The ICTY’s acquittal of ultranationalist Serbian politician Vojislav Seselj has significant consequences for the future of Serbia, the Balkans, and Europe.