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Economics Europe

The Political Risks of a ‘remain’ Brexit vote for the Conservative Party

David Cameron’s gamble to call a referendum on Britain’s EU membership may seem to have succeeded if the outcome will go against a Brexit. The reality will be more unpredictable,

Latin America Politics

Cuba – A blast from the past for tourists

Walking around Cuban cities gives a sense what street scenes from the 1950’s may have been like with ubiquitous vintage cars, a generally low level of motorization,  few neon signs

Europe Security

An Assessment of the terrorist threat in Brussels and Paris

The capture of Salah Abdeslam followed a week of anti-terrorist operations that underscored the elevated terrorist threat that continues to negatively impact Paris and Brussels security environments. Since the deadly

Asia Pacific Economics

Risks to China’s housing markets return

China’s economic and monetary policies are overheating property markets in China’s tier-one cities. Investors should be wary of the potential for asset bubbles to form in local housing markets in

Security Sub-Saharan Africa

The LRA returns: how the militant group is staging a bloody comeback in central Africa

A seemingly depleted force, the Lord’s Resistance Army has escalated its violent campaign in 2016, with analysts warning that it is staging a bloody comeback. Once Africa’s most notorious rebel

International Natural resources and energy

One man’s trash: The urban mining revolution

Global consumption is growing, and so is the amount of e-waste. Urban mining seeks to tap the billions of dollars worth of minerals sitting in landfills. As the global electronics

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Obama heads to Cuba, Argentina. Rouseff saga continues. Fed bankers speak following dovish meetings. Canadian PM Trudeau releases first budget. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. President Obama travels to Cuba and

Europe Finance

ECB’s stimulus package may not revive economic activity

The European Central Bank has increased its stimulus package, but this may not be enough to increase growth and bring inflation back under control. ECB stimulus initiatives “The ECB is ready

Europe Politics

Switzerland’s Trump and the rise of the right

Xenophobia in Europe is not the product of the refugee crisis. An indepth case study of Switzerland charts the rise of Christopher Blocher and the right. What many observers forget

North America Politics

The Ides of March primaries and likely nominees

In the wake of the May 15 primaries most pundits hold that the die is cast in favor of Clinton and Trump. This is assessment is a bit rushed since