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Asia Pacific Security

Evidence of a Rohingya genocide in Myanmar

The United Nations has been called upon to investigate recent claims that Myanmar has committed genocide against Rohingya Muslims. What are the expected repercussions if the allegations are found to

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

Challenges for Libya’s oil sector

Libya’s oil sector faces a host of challenges. The failure of the Tripoli-based GNC and Tobruk governments to reach a unity peace deal last month is pushing the country into

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Netanyahu and Obama meet to defuse tensions. IEA publishes energy forecasts. EU and African leaders discuss migrant crisis. FOMC members on monetary outlook. Central Banks in Chile, Peru set rates. All this in the

Security South and Central Asia

Three Insights from Underwhelming U.S-Pakistan Nuclear Talks

Despite the highly precarious nature of Pakistan’s nuclear program, early reports of U.S.-Pakistan nuclear negotiations in mid-October appear to be overblown. Though the prospects of such a deal are not

Middle East/North Africa North America

Obama’s diplomatic shift in Syria

On Friday, President Obama announced that the United States is to deploy around 50 Special Forces troops to Syria, after repeatedly ruling out US “boots on the ground” action in

Asia Pacific Politics

China’s Party Plenum focuses on economic stabilization

After four days of intense discussion, the elites of the Chinese Communist Party have elaborated a framework for the 13th Five Year Plan that will define new strategies for the

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Egypt reforms civil service to attract investment

With bloated government weighing the country down, Egypt attempts to reform the civil service in order to attract much needed foreign investment. The rampant fall of Egypt’s foreign reserves, which

Asia Pacific Economics

Forecasting GDP: The fight over China’s GDP figure

Distrusting China’s official numbers but lacking credible alternatives, analysts should give less weight to GDP as an indicator of economic health and newspapers should give less weight to GDP short-term

Middle East/North Africa Security

Iran’s military and economic investment in Syria

Since the early 1980s, Iran has invested substantial political and economic capital into Syria. Tehran will continue to support the Assad regime, acting as a counter-point alongside Russia to the

Middle East/North Africa Security

Team Obama’s Low-Risk, High-reward Move in Syria

Contrary to critics, Obama’s decision to deploy Special Operations troops to Syria is neither a giant step forward into a quagmire, nor a meaningless symbolic gesture. In fact, as far