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Europe Politics

Rutte for Fourth Term? Splintered Dutch Political Landscape

Approaching 7 months since the last Dutch general election, new cabinet formations have been marred by internal struggles, ministerial scandals, and political betrayals hampering party leaders from partaking in constructive discussions. The current and now demissionary Rutte III cabinet holds the record for the longest cabinet formation in Dutch history: a whopping 225 days, a situation politicians hoped they would never encounter again. However, Rutte’s aspirations to become the Netherlands longest-serving Prime Minister, in combination with the country’s fragmented political landscape, means Dutch citizens must brace themselves for a long formation if not new elections. Recent breakthroughs to restart the current coalition have signaled a possible end to formations, but if it falls through, new elections are inevitable.

India Politics South and Central Asia

Sher Bahadur Deuba’s Victory: What Does it Mean for Nepal’s Neighbourhood?

The electoral turmoil in Nepal witnessed a new development, when on the 20th of December, 2020 the nation’s president, Bidya Devi Bhandari dissolved its parliament. Months of uncertainty in Government, coupled with the disastrous impact of the pandemic drove the nation to a political stalemate, until Sher Bahadur Deuba secured the position of Prime Minister with the backing of the parliament. What is the future course that the new Nepalese government will take and how will it shape their future in the region?   K.P Sharma Oli’s exit has stalled China’s rapprochement of Nepal, leaving a vacuum that can be filled by neighbouring aspirations from India. Nepal’s future in the South Asian neighbourhood will be marked by its management of the two regional powers, and a potential balancing act that can protect its self interests.

Europe Politics

How can Britain escape the Brexit impasse?

With less than seventy days between now and the 29th March, time is running out to reach a deal. Precedent shows that Theresa May isn’t willing to compromise or adopt cross-party consensus, and the risk of a Corbyn government shirks her party away from an election. Parliament taking control or a referendum are the most likely solutions to the impasse.

Asia Pacific Politics

Myanmar’s first freely elected parliament gets under way

Myanmar’s first freely elected parliament held its opening session on Monday. This significant step on Myanmar’s road to democracy will send a positive sign to investors looking for stable business

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

New Hampshire holds primary. Obama sends budget to Congress. NATO Ministers meet. Google execs appear before UK Parliament. South African President releases address. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. New Hampshire holds nation’s first primary,

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

ECB speech after signals of new stimulus. Iranian President travels to Europe. Bank of England officials testify. Conferences highlight oil price collapse. Bank of Japan surprise with policy shift. All in the Weekly Risk

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Does a New Parliament Signal a Shift for Egypt?

Last Sunday, Egypt’s newly-elected parliament held its first meeting since the 2012 expulsion of former President Mohammed Morsi. But the new class of legislators have little chance of serving as

Economics International

Does an India-EU Free Trade Agreement stand a chance?

Negotiations toward a major trade agreement between India and its largest trading partner, the EU, seem to be back on track. Broad structural and political reforms, however, will likely be

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

The UK heads to the polls in a hotly contested election. The US Department of Labor releases April’s unemployment figures. Canada’s largest oil producing province votes on a new government.

Europe Politics

What does Napolitano’s resignation mean for Italy?

Italy’s President Giorgio Napolitano, retired from office on 14 January 2015. The question remains whether his successor will continue his strategy of active involvement in political debates. Italy’s President Giorgio