What will happen in the US election?

What will happen in the US election?
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GRI Debate: What are the key factors that will affect election day and the upcoming presidency?

Election day is fast approaching and, as Trump regains momentum, the outcome is all but predictable. Who will win, and what wi? GRI asked some of its top analysts to contribute their perspectives on what will happen in the upcoming days. 

The case for why Syria will mark Clinton’s presidency

Chris Solomon presents why an upcoming Clinton presidency will be deeply shaped by the Syrian conflict, as Russian activity in the region intensifies.

Over the next three years, the crisis in Syria will seemingly both increase and deescalate all at once. The fight against the so-called Islamic State (IS) could see competing factions eventually surrounding and besieging Raqqa and Deir el Zor. Assad regime forces might begin meeting up with the Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) on multiple fronts. IS, largely going underground, is likely to launch sporadic and vicious terrorist attacks against its regional and Western opponents alike.”

Read the full article here.

The case for why Texas is turning into a swing state

Lauren Maffeo explains why Texas is rapidly shifting into a toss-up state as part of this election, as Clinton and Trump become closer in the latest polls.

What does this mean for future voting patterns? Texas is the second most populous state in the U.S. It is also projected to increase its number of electoral votes to 40 or 41 after the 2020 census (it currently has 38). If the Republican party’s only large anchor state fails to capture these changing demographics, they risk losing to Democrats in future elections.”

Read the full article here.

An illustration of how the latest email revelations will affect the election

Jon Lang explains how Comey’s latest probe into Clinton’s email server will make the election results closer, but still in her favor.

“The revelation will likely give pause to moderate Republicans considering voting for Secretary Clinton as well as former supporters of Senator Sanders long suspecting of the Secretary. It will also provide vulnerable Republican Senate candidates additional ammunition as they pivot to running as a check on a likely Clinton presidency.”

Read the full article here.

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