Archive
Poor security drives Honduras emigration
A variety of domestic factors, including a lack of security and economic opportunity, are driving steady emigration out of Honduras. Conclusions drawn from the author’s research work on the ground
What does a political reshuffle mean for North Korea?
A recent rise to prominence of Kim Jong-un’s sister, Kim Yo-jong, reveals the internal dynamics of North Korea’s power structure. The northern half of the Korean peninsula is infamous for
Latin America sees second leftist wave
In 2014, there were presidential elections in El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Bolivia, and Uruguay, with right-of-center and pro-business parties losing every contest. In December 2013, GRI noted
Lebanon political crisis threatens investment environment
Lebanon is facing a deep political crisis. The inability of lawmakers to agree on a president to lead the country threatens Lebanon’s already fragile security environment and hinders its ability
Brazil’s populist president names liberal finance minister
Brazilian president Dilma Rouseff has appointed Joachim Levy to new Finance Minister post. But Levy faces many challenges if he is to balance Brazil’s budget. Guest post by Dr. Daniel
There is nothing normal about risk and uncertainty
Much of risk and all uncertainty are inaccessible to mathematical tools. Alternate analytical methods are needed. Standard models in financial economics – including risk models – are under great scrutiny.
Rocky ride for Russia’s economy set to continue
Western sanctions and falling oil prices have cost Russia over $160 billion and have been “catastrophic” for the Russian economy. Despite this, the Russian leadership is unlikely to alter its provocative
Weekly Risk Outlook
Mario Draghi, ECB President, is likely to broaden QE programme early; US Fed may signal the timing of increasing interest rates in December meeting; Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party expected
EDA: Declining oil prices pose threat to Algerian economy
EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: In view of declining oil prices further dependence on the hydrocarbon sector may lead Algeria to face economic and political tremors in the long term. One of the
EDA: Morocco overly dependent on trade with Europe
EXTERNAL DEPENDENCIES ANALYSIS: Recent trips by Morocco’s King Mohammed VI to four African countries, however, suggest a shift in strategy towards African markets. In March 2014, King Mohammed VI of Morocco
