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Finance International

Now’s really not the time for a liquidity crisis

Liquidity risk in the global bond markets is peaking at the worst possible time. It’s not simply an inconvenience for Greek bank customers emptying ATMs; a number of other trends

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Greece faces IMF repayment deadline. Deadline for Iran nuclear deal approaches. President Rousseff meets with President Obama. Burundi prepares parliamentary elections without opposition participation. Unemployment in the U.S. falls further. All in this Weekly

Finance North America

Global dynamics playing larger role in Fed policymaking

The Federal Reserve has little appetite to make policy based on the economic situation outside of the US, but minutes from its most recent meeting show that it is being

Economics Latin America

What to expect in Latin America in 2015

In 2015, Latin America’s dominant extractive industries will have to deal with lower prices and lower international demand. But with political and economic challenges building, many governments may find themselves unable

Europe Politics

For Turkey, Russian partnership is high risk-high reward

A Russia-Turkey partnership is in the offer, and with increasing domestic and international political pressure the two countries seem to be headed for a significant diplomatic relationship in the near future. A

Latin America Politics

US-Cuba thaw stepping stone to expanded Latin America trade

Given the shift in U.S.-Cuba relations, the April 2015 Summit of the Americas may serve as a significant stepping stone to expanded trade relations between the United States and several Latin American

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

GRI Weekly Risk Outlook

Putin visits India to reach out on energy, defense. Crude oil reaches new lows as economies thrive on cheap energy. US likely to avoid a repeat of 2013 shutdown. Eurozone ministers

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Mario Draghi, ECB President, is likely to broaden QE programme early; US Fed may signal the timing of increasing interest rates in December meeting; Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party expected

Economics South and Central Asia

Kazakhstan stuck between falling exchange rates and oil prices

How will Kazakhstan’s economy react to the double threat of the falling ruble exchange rates and falling oil prices? Kazakhstan’s growth rate since 2010 has been above 6%, but current

International Natural resources and energy

Arctic extraction sees huge potential, high risks

Massive petroleum and mineral reserves in the Arctic region are gradually becoming accessible due to climate change. However, companies face high risks as a result of large investment and operational