Tag "US Federal Reserve"
OZY+GRI: Could this interest rate cliff-edge cripple the US economy?
Out-of-control inflation in the US is a gray rhino — a high-impact, negative occurrence that is rationalized until it is too late. The government’s response, though, could lead to a true black swan: a low-frequency, high-impact event that no one sees coming.
Where do financial markets end and the “real economy” begin?
It can be easy to confuse the financial sphere with the “real” economy of employment, growth, and macroeconomics. But while movements in the market can be independent of the economy, the two
GRI’s Weekly Risk Outlook
Deadlines loom with Iran nuclear talks. China releases PMI data. U.S. prepares to release unemployment figures. Greece releases reform proposals. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Deadline for Iran nuclear
6 reasons 2015 will be defined by market volatility
Markets spent most of 2014 calmly moving up, but 2015 may be a different story. Outside of a brief surge in volatility in October, markets were complacent throughout 2014. Even
How will the Fed normalize monetary policy post-taper?
As the Federal Reserve continues to reduce the pace of asset purchases, attention has turned to the impending rise in interest rates. But to control short-term rates, the Fed will
3 reasons economists keep forecasting growth wrong
The Fed and IMF again downgraded US growth projections, as they have done repeatedly for the last five years. When the Federal Reserve and the IMF downgraded their forecasts for
Overspending in South Africa worries investors
As South Africans continue to over-spend a changing global economic environment is likely to worry investors about the narrowing market opportunities and consumer spending capacities. South Africa has, in the past
Erdogan undermines Turkish Central Bank’s autonomy
On 30 April, the Governor of Turkey’s Central Bank, Erdem Basci, announced an interest rate cut in the near future, but specified neither number nor schedule. The announcement came a week after reaffirming the Bank’s
Why Stan Fischer’s next job matters to global finance
The US Federal Reserve is getting a new face: Stan Fischer will likely become the body’s new vice chairman. All eyes are on where he stands on the Fed’s increasingly regulatory
