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Europe Politics

Belarus’ latest elections: A potential for further opening

While the election of two opposition MPs does not change Belarus’ power balance, it does show signs of a thaw towards the opposition and the EU.

Europe Politics

South Ossetia and Abkhazia face heightened political risk

Political unrest in Abkhazia and the looming potential of a national referendum in South Ossetia increase the risk outlook for the two breakaway republics. However, the regions are likely to

Europe Security

Georgia cozies up to Europe, what will Russia think?

The Georgia Association Agreement came into force this week and Georgia’s relationship with Europe became increasingly important. How will Russia react?

Europe Security

NATO steps up pressure along Russia borders

NATO recent exercises in Moldova and Georgia are part of a wider strategy aimed at increasing military pressure on Moscow in Eastern Europe and the Caucasus.

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

The Philippines goes to the polls. Russia and the West continue negotiations over Ukraine. Brazil closes in on impeachment proceedings. Key conferences take place in the Middle East and Latin America. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook.

Europe Politics

Yatsenyuk’s resignation highlights Ukraine’s structural issues

Prime Minister Yatsenyuk’s resignation highlights structural governance issues in Ukraine, underscoring the risks posed by a high degree of corruption.

Europe Security

Bleak Outlook at Munich Security Conference

Displaying a level of pessimism which surpassed even last year’s conference, attendees at the Munich Security Conference 2016 last week were forced to reckon with the consequences stemming from the

Europe Politics

Political developments in Ukraine raise risk of instability

Recent developments do not bode well for Ukraine’s political stability and conflict resolution efforts. Following an ease of violence lasting several months, fighting has once again shot up in eastern

Security Technology and infrastructure

How Cyber (In)Secure is Air Travel?

A ‘successful’ cyber attack could cause financial loss, reputational damage and threaten passenger safety.  The industry must meet the challenge presented by highly skilled hackers, seeking to exploit a number

Europe Politics

Italy’s risky outlook for 2016

The gap is widening between Rome and Brussels. The reasons are both diverging interests and increasing domestic pressure on the government. But how far will this fight go in 2016?