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International Security

Economics of the AK-47

In this era of modern technology and cutting edge military equipment, the Russian assault rifle remains ubiquitous in today’s war zones. What is the reason behind the AK-47’s continued use and economic impact

Europe Natural resources and energy

Three trends in Russia’s oil and gas

The status of Russian oil and gas is a factor near the core of many of the world’s most wide-reaching risks and opportunities. Here are three trends set to shape

Middle East/North Africa Security

Obama ups the ante in Syria with TOW missiles

While Obama has seemingly stood by his risk-averse approach to Middle East policy, the supply of TOW missiles to certain rebel factions has continued in response to Russia’s recent actions.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Kurdish groups are divided over Russian presence in Syria and Iraq

Russian airstrikes in Syria and military aid efforts in Iraq have placed Kurdish groups in both countries in an awkward position.  As Russia and the U.S. pursue alternate strategies in

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

China trade figures show slide. US CPI data to weigh on Fed October meeting. EU officials discuss refugees, Brexit. Democrats hold primary debate. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. China

Europe Politics

Switzerland split on the refugee issue

While some groups are advocating for stronger commitments to asylum seekers, others, such as the Swiss People’s Party, call for stronger borders. Humanitarian concerns, worries about the economy, and tinges

Middle East/North Africa Security

Russia’s sudden military build-up in Syria

Recent reports suggest a Russian military build-up in Syria as President Vladimir Putin searches for new venues to stoke both domestic and international legitimacy — an expanded foray into the

Europe Politics

Migrants arrive in Austria as German border tightens

The front line of the European Union’s latest crisis has shifted from Hungary to Austria. Serene and prosperous, the country has a history of successful migrant communities. How will the

Europe Politics

Mixed feelings in the Netherlands as migrants come to Europe

The handling of the crisis by the Netherlands reflects the Dutch view that, while asylum-seekers should be welcomed in the country, economic migrants should not. An oft-underreported aspect of the

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Turkish lira or Syrian pound? Currency debate sparks divide in Northern Syria

Opposition groups in Syria’s North are opting to use the Turkish lira over the Syrian pound to take advantage of a more stable currency, while also deliberately seeking to devalue