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Central America Economics

Nicaragua: Risks to Economic Recovery in 2021

Like most other countries, Nicaragua’s economy slowed in 2020 owing to the international effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nicaragua was also affected by a rough hurricane season, sustaining damage particularly from Hurricanes Eta and Iota. Compounding these challenges, the country’s political environment remains an obstacle to encouraging foreign direct investment and improving the country’s socioeconomic situation. How is Nicaragua’s situation likely to change in 2021?

Economics Latin America

IMF Money? Colombia’s Listening!

After a year of bad news due to the  COVID-19 pandemic and its economic repercussions, Colombia’s fortune is finally improving: at the end of September, the IMF expanded Colombia’s credit line from USD 10.8 billion to USD 17.2 billion.

Economics Latin America

Argentina: Economic doldrums pose electoral risk

Argentina’s economy and political turmoil are on full display at the start of 2019. The country is in the midst of a difficult economic situation, which has led to a

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Tunisia’s new modus operandi

In recent months, Tunisia’s government and the worker union UGTT have negotiated an agreement that aims to improve the socio-economic situation of the country. While this new model of having UGTT participates in the policy agenda slows down the reform process, it also offers realistic chances to allow inclusive growth.

Latin America Politics

The IMF joins President Macri’s bid to ward off political risks

The Argentine government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on 7 June agreed to a Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) of up to $50 billion after suffering a speculative attack on the Argentine peso in May.

Europe Politics

Ukraine faces a heightened risk of instability in 2018

High levels of corruption, poor governance and the ongoing conflict in the east generate a heightened risk of instability in Ukraine

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Egypt’s looming concerns: violent unrest and a fragile economy

Egypt’s economy has garnered the attention of the IMF. Investments are facing risks from the escalating violence and increasing prices hamper.

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa Under The Radar

Under the Radar: How Mozambique increased national debt by 20% in three easy steps

Mozambique’s debt scandal highlights the risks in letting security services run businesses, as they undermine transparency and economic independence.

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Should investors keep giving the Buhari administration the benefit of the doubt?

Despite Nigeria’s recession investors keep buying Nigerian bonds. But will the Buhari administration deliver on economic reform?

Economics Future Generator

Future Generator: Media Sentiment Trending Positive in Ukraine

The ‘Future Generator’ is a highly unique and cutting-edge approach to forecasting ‘media sentiment’, developed by a partnership between Global Risk Insights (GRI) and Ethnographic Edge (EE). The aim of