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Economics Future Generator

Future Generator: Media Sentiment Trending Positive in Ukraine

The ‘Future Generator’ is a highly unique and cutting-edge approach to forecasting ‘media sentiment’, developed by a partnership between Global Risk Insights (GRI) and Ethnographic Edge (EE). The aim of

Economics South and Central Asia Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Sri Lanka’s drought threatens credit downgrade

Sri Lanka’s ongoing drought is not only a humanitarian crisis, but also an economic one, as the country’s economy suffers on multiple fronts.

Economics Middle East/North Africa

What challenges lie ahead for Egypt’s economic reforms?

As Egypt prepares to receive the second tranche of a $12 billion IMF loan, the country is facing continued political and economic challenges.

Europe Finance

Decisions delayed once again over Greece’s bailout

Greece is in the spotlight as debates regarding its bailout continue. Its fate is in the hands of the IMF, the EU and upcoming elections in Europe.

Finance South and Central Asia Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Mongolia’s banks threaten economic crash

Mongolia’s risk-laden and poorly managed banks are a major threat to national stability, as a bond repayment deadline threatens to trigger a default.

Future Generator Sub-Saharan Africa

Future Generator: Uganda media coverage to remain negative in early February

Mounting concerns about Uganda’s mismanagement, and increasing refugee flows from South Sudan, will yield negative media coverage over the next two weeks.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

What lies ahead for post-election Gambia?

Gambia’s president has stepped aside after 22 years in power. This might mark the beginning of recovery for the Gambian economy, undermined by decades of authoritarian rule.

Europe Finance

What a sovereign default would look like on the ECB’s balance sheet

Central banks’ QE programmes have exposed them to sovereign defaults in an unprecedented way. However, the most likely candidate in Europe is likely to do little damage. Given the centrality

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead

Brazil forges anti-Venezuela consensus. Third Spanish election looms. Presidential debates continue. Conservatives take on Brexit. IMF and World Bank meet.

Finance Sub-Saharan Africa Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Sukuk bonds boom in West Africa

West Africa has long been under-serviced by Islamic finance, yet 2016 is seeing major growth in sukuk issuances, with domestic and foreign interest piqued.