As the Islamic State loses territory in Syria and Iraq, the radical Islamist group is likely to increase its focus on foreign operations leading to a heightened terrorist threat in Europe for 2017.
With 2017 fast approaching, Europe and the EU will likely continue to be exposed to a range of security, financial and political risks.
The recent surge of single-assailant terrorist attacks is part of the Islamic State’s strategy to create a climate of insecurity in Europe.
The latest string of violence increases risk of anti-refugee feelings and political tensions as Merkel is weakened by the refugee crisis.
The day after the EU-UK referendum, leaders will attempt to control political risks of a different nature, depending on the outcome.
When Draghi began his tenure in 2011, Berlin was supportive in light of their informal influence over ECB. This relationship has since deteriorated sharply.