Starting with the 2012 France attack, single-assailant terrorist attacks have increasingly come to define the security environment in Western Europe.
The French presidential elections will have a strong impact on domestic and international security policies.
Political risk is intensifying in the Eurozone, specifically in France and Italy. Italy is emerging as a potential auxiliary source of risk.
Greece is in the spotlight as debates regarding its bailout continue. Its fate is in the hands of the IMF, the EU and upcoming elections in Europe.
The French presidential elections will be a major event in the context of ongoing transatlantic diplomatic shift and potential realignments.
As the Islamic State loses territory in Syria and Iraq, the radical Islamist group is likely to increase its focus on foreign operations leading to a heightened terrorist threat in Europe for 2017.