As the Islamic State loses territory in Syria and Iraq, the radical Islamist group is likely to increase its focus on foreign operations leading to a heightened terrorist threat in Europe for 2017.
With 2017 fast approaching, Europe and the EU will likely continue to be exposed to a range of security, financial and political risks.
Russia’s counter-sanctions are hurting various European economies while major investment projects in Russia are being blocked by EU sanctions. This situation has led to enhanced tensions within the EU, thus increasing the risk of disunity regarding its policy towards Moscow.
weakened political class and ongoing social tensions expose France to several risk trends.
The recent surge of single-assailant terrorist attacks is part of the Islamic State’s strategy to create a climate of insecurity in Europe.
After Brexit highlighted fears over immigration, the EU needs to listen better to its citizens. While Western members face uncertainty, Eastern Europe remains loyal to the EU, for now.