Greece is in the spotlight as debates regarding its bailout continue. Its fate is in the hands of the IMF, the EU and upcoming elections in Europe.
The French presidential elections will be a major event in the context of ongoing transatlantic diplomatic shift and potential realignments.
As the Islamic State loses territory in Syria and Iraq, the radical Islamist group is likely to increase its focus on foreign operations leading to a heightened terrorist threat in Europe for 2017.
With 2017 fast approaching, Europe and the EU will likely continue to be exposed to a range of security, financial and political risks.
Russia’s counter-sanctions are hurting various European economies while major investment projects in Russia are being blocked by EU sanctions. This situation has led to enhanced tensions within the EU, thus increasing the risk of disunity regarding its policy towards Moscow.
weakened political class and ongoing social tensions expose France to several risk trends.