Tag "Federal Reserve"
How much slack does the U.S. labor market really have?
U.S. labor market slack, the unused part of economic production capacity, is an important economic indicator used by the Federal Reserve to determine forward guidance. The question is how much
Fed debates changing forward guidance
The quickly falling US unemployment rate has caused the Federal Reserve to reevaluate how it communicates when it will raise interest rates. Recently released minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last
Can monetary policy address U.S. long-term unemployment?
With Janet Yellen newly confirmed as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, investors are now parsing her testimony to gain insight on the future direction of interest rates. One particularly interesting piece
Yellen’s first statements chart clear path for Federal Reserve
The new Fed Chairwoman made clear to Congress that her Fed will focus on improving the labor market and being straightforward in its messaging. In her first major appearance since becoming
Why Thailand’s political unrest is not business as usual
Political unrest surrounding the recent elections in Thailand casts a shadow on the future of the economy, which has already experienced contractions. Continued political discord will make Thailand a less
US taper puts pressure on emerging markets
The Federal Reserve’s decision in January to continue reducing the pace of asset purchases has put emerging markets in a bind. At the end of January, the Federal Reserve decided
U.S. Fed holds the fuse to Singapore’s bubble time bomb
The United States’ monetary policy has far-reaching, sometimes unintended consequences, and these past few years have seen unprecedented liquidity injections from the Fed. One way the stimulus manifests itself is
Are loans causing U.S. financial markets to overheat again?
Low interest rates in the U.S. enabled the 2013 bull market but have also created the conditions for another credit bubble. Covenant-lite loans, the latest financial innovation, could spell trouble.
2014: a balance between global optimism and latent risks
The World economy is on the mend, but recovery will not happen everywhere at the same pace. Here are some of the risks that will play a large role in
IMF predicts a world economy in transition
GRI looks into the IMF’s predictions on the global economy, with a focus on the organization’s prognostication of a world market in transition. State of the world economy In the
