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International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Brazilian minister delivers remarks. FOMC board member to give speech calling for interest hike. Putin meets Xi Jinping. U.S. releases trade figures. G-20 ministers and central bankers meet. All in the Weekly Risk

Middle East/North Africa Security

The many threats of Turkey’s PKK Conflict

Recent back-and-forth violence between the Turkish government and PKK militants has created a situation of uncertainty in many parts of both rural and urban Turkey. The conflict presents a security

International Natural resources and energy

Mediterranean energy alliances isolate Turkey

The discovery of hydrocarbons has altered the geopolitical situation in the Eastern Mediterranean, leading to the formation of new alliances that leave Turkey out of the game. With regional crises

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Turkey has much to lose in Kobani

With the Islamic State’s insurgency in Kobani still raging economic fallout in Turkey has already begun. The Turkish state is making significant unforced errors, with damaging long-term consequences for its

Middle East/North Africa Security

ISIL in Iraq Series: Iraq-Turkey economic ties survive ISIL

ISIL is proving to be not just a political threat to Iraq, but an economic one too. Nevertheless, Iraq-Turkey trade and investment prospects will not suffer as ruinous a decline

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Erdogan and AKP preserve power in local elections

Turkey’s recent mayoral polls were an unofficial referendum on Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP).The vote results proved that Erdogan has survived the

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Turkey attempts to curtail judicial independence

Judicial reforms proposed in Turkey, though shelved for the moment, call into question Erdogan’s ability to emerge from the current political crisis with an intact democracy and rule of law.

Politics South and Central Asia

Business boom for Turkish contractors in Turkmenistan

Turkmenistan’s openness to Turkish investment grows with an increasing number of construction contracts. The Turkish press published reports in December 2013 detailing new projects to be undertaken by the Turkish

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

Turkey tightens Kurdistan ties to Baghdad’s chagrin

Kurdistan, the oil-rich semi-autonomous region in northern Iraq, will begin selling oil to Turkey despite vocal objections by the Iraqi government over the contracts’ legitimacy. Turkish-Iraqi relations have suffered as

International Politics

Kurdish peace process key to Turkey’s energy security

The fate of the Kurdish peace process will influence how Ankara interacts with the Kurdish populations of other countries, and may affect Turkey’s ability to procure much needed Kurdish oil.