Politics
Weekly Risk Outlook
FOMC September rate decision (finally) arrives. Brazil’s Finance Minister allays fears. Bank of Japan issues rates as QE program struggles. Canadians debate as the country enters recession. Greece heads to polls. All in
The Venezuela-Colombia border crisis heats up
As Venezuela confronts significant economic problems ahead of elections in December, President Maduro has tried to divert attention by creating a conflict with neighboring Colombia. As a result, economic and political
Will the La Linea corruption scandal break or make Guatemala?
Otto Pérez Molina resigned from the Guatemalan presidency on Wednesday, September 2, after the attorney general issued a warrant for his arrest amid corruption allegations and public unrest. On September 1,
Malaysian prime minister weathers ‘people power’ movement — for now
Malaysia’s prime minister has so far weathered anti-government protests calling for his removal. Without political stability and a strengthened economy, his long-term prospects of survival seem uncertain. The Malaysian capital
Can Syriza pull off a victory in Greece’s snap elections?
After negotiating their latest bailout deal with European creditors, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and his ruling Syriza party face major reelection challenges. By the end of July, Syriza had retained a comfortable
Weekly Risk Outlook
Jeremy Corbyn likely new leader of UK Labour Party. Last FOMC member speech before September Fed meeting. Chinese data roils market. Canada makes rate decision. Civilian exchanges to ease tension between Koreas. All this
Anti-trash protests reveal fragility of Lebanese state
Recent demonstrations in downtown Beirut turned violent last week after security forces used water cannons and tear gas against protesters who are calling for an end to the country’s trash
Weekly Risk Outlook
Brazilian minister delivers remarks. FOMC board member to give speech calling for interest hike. Putin meets Xi Jinping. U.S. releases trade figures. G-20 ministers and central bankers meet. All in the Weekly Risk
Forecasting China’s anti-corruption campaign
China’s recent economic struggles will mean a serious re-examination of existing policies by Beijing, including the ongoing anti-corruption campaign. In the coming 12 months, China will continue its anti-graft efforts
Sensitive political issues strain Uganda’s relations with international donors
Political issues in Uganda have a direct effect on the willingness and ability of international donors to provide aid. If the Ugandan government under President Museveni doesn’t take steps to
