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Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

GRI Weekly Risk Outlook

Putin visits India to reach out on energy, defense. Crude oil reaches new lows as economies thrive on cheap energy. US likely to avoid a repeat of 2013 shutdown. Eurozone ministers

Finance International

Investment growing in high-risk litigation lawsuits

Investing in lawsuits is relatively new and inherently risky. But that has not stopped a number of firms from taking up the challenge. In doing so, they are finding a

Finance International

6 reasons 2015 will be defined by market volatility

Markets spent most of 2014 calmly moving up, but 2015 may be a different story. Outside of a brief surge in volatility in October, markets were complacent throughout 2014. Even

International Natural resources and energy

Mediterranean energy alliances isolate Turkey

The discovery of hydrocarbons has altered the geopolitical situation in the Eastern Mediterranean, leading to the formation of new alliances that leave Turkey out of the game. With regional crises

Finance International

There is nothing normal about risk and uncertainty

Much of risk and all uncertainty are inaccessible to mathematical tools. Alternate analytical methods are needed.  Standard models in financial economics – including risk models – are under great scrutiny.

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Mario Draghi, ECB President, is likely to broaden QE programme early; US Fed may signal the timing of increasing interest rates in December meeting; Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party expected

International Security

4 trends in cyber security for businesses

In the wake of several high-profile cyber attacks on major sectors of the global economy, cyber security ranks as a principal concern to businesses across a range of industries and

International Natural resources and energy

Cutting oil production will not solve OPEC’s problems

As oil prices continue to fall, OPEC faces a dilemma at its meeting in Vienna on 27 November. Members must decide between decreasing production that will support the oil prices but

Finance International

Forex scandal exposes difficulty of financial regulation

The latest foreign exchange fixing (forex) scandal, which led to a $4.3 billion bank settlement with American, British, and Swiss regulators reinforces the difficulties of effectively regulating the financial markets.

International Politics

Is China Afghanistan’s new best friend?

China is already a major investor in Afghanistan. President Ghani’s first state visit was to Beijing. Will China step in to take the US’ place when the US-led coalition leaves? Newly-elected Afghan president