International
U.S. Congress poised to move forward on trade policy
For the United States to successfully conclude the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), Congress must first pass trade promotion authority. It is increasingly poised to do so. Seven years ago, the United
Weekly Risk Outlook
Eurozone Q4 2014 figures to reflect a moderate growth acceleration. Japanese Q4 2014 data expected to show that the Nippon economy is no longer in contraction. Central Banks of Peru
Oil sector expected to reduce investment in new projects
Despite the overall benefits for the global economy, the prolonged period of low oil prices is likely to reduce investment in new oil projects, raising the potential for economic and political
Weakening currencies put developing countries’ debt at risk
Debts issued in foreign currencies, some of which are not counted in official statistics, are a rising risk to developing economies as the UK and US get closer to raising
Low oil prices bring instability to the global oil sector
A pro-longed period of low oil prices could have long-term consequences for the future of the oil industry and geopolitical stability of some oil exporting countries. Falling oil prices can be
Weekly Risk Outlook
ASEAN pushes for ‘code of conduct’ in South China Sea dispute. The United States Federal Reserve to maintain its current monetary policy stance while members of the African Union and
Book Review: Why Nations Fail
Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty is a key book for understanding the building blocks of political risk analysis in the modern world, especially how politics
IS hack underscores need for Cybersecurity Framework
The hack on the US Military’s Central Command Twitter accounts by IS this week illustrates the increasing ability of non-state cyber criminals to disrupt official government and corporate accounts. The
Oil outlook for 2015
“Best two days in 3 years,” read a headline closing the final week before Christmas, an early gift for US equity traders – tonic enough for most to wash down the
Weekly Risk Outlook
Expected ECB QE programme will require some fine-tuning. Russia’s credit rating takes a hit as its economy weakens further. Iran may face new sets of US sanctions as newest round of talks begin, and
