Posts From Jose Luengo-Cabrera
Ivory Coast attack highlights AQIM expansion
The March 13 attack in Ivory Coast highlights the expanding regional operability of Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). Propelling fears of additional incidents across West Africa, this has reinforced
Ouattara victory bodes well for Ivorian economy
A fractious opposition and strong support for President Alassana Ouattara will most likely guarantee a victory for the incumbent. Unlike the last presidential election, risks of violence are low but
Nigeria’s crude troubles leave oil investors weary
With the formation of the Nigerian government still underway, uncertainty over reforms in the oil industry and macroeconomic mismanagement are making investors increasingly weary amid significant capital outflows and falling
Nigeria’s elections are expected to be highly contentious
With the ruling party facing a credible opposition for the first time since the restoration of civilian rule, Nigeria’s upcoming general elections are expected to be highly contentious. Risks will emanate
Hard policy choices ahead for the Central Bank of Nigeria
With a sliding currency, the Central Bank of Nigeria is faced with a difficult policy choice. Its efforts to stabilise the naira and tame inflationary pressures are likely to be
Economic stakes are high in Mozambique’s elections
Low risk of post-electoral violence bodes well for investor confidence in Mozambique. However, potential changes to the regulatory framework and slow infrastructure development are likely to hinder investment in the booming
Pressure mounts on Ghana’s government to address imbalances
Deteriorating twin deficits have put pressure on the government to adopt austerity measures. But risks of social unrest and reduced FDI may force authorities to moderate their rebalancing efforts. Although
