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Economics Middle East/North Africa

With new president, Tunisia hopes for economic stability

Almost four years after the popular uprising that ousted longtime autocrat Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali, Tunisians completed their formal transition to democracy this month with the election of their first

Europe Politics

GRI’s 2014 Country of the Year in political risk

Scotland is GRI’s 2014 Country of the Year in political risk. The debate over Scottish independence showed the vote was not just about nationalism but also political risk. Scottish voters

Politics South and Central Asia

GRI’s 2014 Person of the Year in political risk

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is GRI’s 2014 Person of the Year in political risk. Much like Mexico’s President Enrique Pena Nieto last year, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has become

Europe Politics

For Turkey, Russian partnership is high risk-high reward

A Russia-Turkey partnership is in the offer, and with increasing domestic and international political pressure the two countries seem to be headed for a significant diplomatic relationship in the near future. A

International Politics

5 trends to expect in political risk in 2015

From Russian recession and falling oil prices to emerging market reform and divided responses to Islamic State, five areas will define political risk in 2015. One year ago today, the

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Israeli central bank to decide on interest rates. New home price data set for release in the United States. American banks to face new liquidity regulations. AirAsia crash creates potential

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

What lies ahead for the EAC?

While the EAC has made substantial progress, its future is threatened by multiple overlapping preferential trade agreements and plans for a larger continental economic community. Among developing countries, the East

Europe Politics

Populist Podemos will shape 2015 elections in Spain

With chronic unemployment, corruption and Catalonian secessionist claims already apparent in Spain, the rise of Podemos and its brand of socialist populism adds yet another level of intrigue to Spanish

Latin America Natural resources and energy

Argentina’s uncertain energy future

Despite natural resource potential and recent policy changes to encourage investment, Argentina faces challenges in the energy sector as global oil prices are low, investor confidence remains shaky and neighboring

Security Sub-Saharan Africa

Piracy in West Africa targets the region’s oil industry

Mostly conducted by Nigerian pirates in the Gulf of Guinea, piracy in West Africa has been on the rise for the last years and has proven to be much more sophisticated